Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.1% | 78.9% | +7.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +8 (92-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Lyttle | 35 | 8-15 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 15 | - |
| L. Harding | 33 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 14 | - |
| A. McCoughtry | 33 | 9-19 | 0-1 | 8-10 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 18 | - |
| A. Henry-Morello | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| T. Hayes | 19 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| C. Kraayeveld | 16 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Herrington | 16 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| L. Koehn | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Swanier | 7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| C. Paris | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Douglas | 31 | 6-11 | 3-4 | 6-7 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 15 | - |
| T. Catchings | 30 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 18 | - |
| B. January | 28 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 6 | - |
| J. Davenport | 27 | 4-13 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 10 | - |
| E. Phillips | 22 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| S. Zellous | 21 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| J. Pohlen-Mavunga | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| S. Goodlett | 13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| E. Larkins | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. Hodges | 3 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
* = starter