Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.2% | 94.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.6% | 90.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.5% | 97.5% | +20.1 | ✓ (14.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +6 (89-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bonner | 35 | 8-17 | 3-7 | 4-5 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 18 | - |
| A. Hornbuckle | 32 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 9 | - |
| K. Thomas | 28 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -3 | - |
| C. Houston | 22 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| B. Butler | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| N. Sanford | 19 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| L. Kizer | 18 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 14 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| A. Warley-Talbert | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Catchings | 32 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 5-7 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 15 | - |
| K. Douglas | 31 | 12-18 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 16 | - |
| B. January | 30 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| E. Larkins | 24 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Pohlen-Mavunga | 21 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| E. Phillips | 20 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| S. Zellous | 10 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Goodlett | 9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| T. Sutton-Brown | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K. Christmas-Kelly | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Davenport | 6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
* = starter