Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.4% | 42.6% | -1.6 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces -4 (78-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamika Catchings * | 33 | 9-16 | 3-4 | 5-5 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 25 | - |
| Briann January * | 32 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Katie Douglas * | 32 | 8-18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Shavonte Zellous * | 28 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Tammy Sutton-Brown * | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Erlana Larkins | 25 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Erin Phillips | 14 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Jeanette Pohlen-Mavunga | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Karima Christmas-Kelly | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Sasha Goodlett | 3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Jessica Davenport | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Becky Hammon * | 33 | 6-18 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 3 | - |
| Sophia Young-Malcolm * | 33 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Danielle Robinson * | 31 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Jayne Appel Marinelli * | 27 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Shameka Christon * | 24 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Jia Perkins | 22 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 6-9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Danielle Adams | 13 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Shenise Johnson | 11 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Tangela Smith | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter