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2012-09-28

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Dream Indiana Fever Spread Result
Elo 21.8% 78.2% -
Bradley-Terry 29.2% 70.8% -
Margin 21.1% 78.9% +7.3 (16.3 off)
Pythagorean 41.6% 58.4% -

Actual: Indiana Fever -9 (66-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Harding 40 8-14 1-5 6-7 4 7 3 0 4 23 19 -
A. McCoughtry 37 8-18 0-2 0-0 9 2 2 2 2 16 11 -
S. Lyttle 36 6-19 0-2 0-1 9 2 5 0 2 12 7 -
A. Herrington 31 3-5 0-0 2-2 8 2 2 0 3 8 12 -
E. de Souza 23 4-10 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 8 2 -
A. Henry-Morello 17 3-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 1 6 8 -
T. Hayes 13 1-4 0-1 0-0 3 2 2 1 1 2 5 -
C. Kraayeveld 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Douglas 37 4-12 1-5 4-4 5 2 3 0 1 13 10 -
T. Catchings 34 2-11 0-2 6-7 11 3 2 0 2 10 13 -
E. Larkins 25 4-5 0-0 3-4 5 0 1 2 4 11 10 -
B. January 24 5-11 0-4 0-0 2 3 2 0 4 10 2 -
S. Zellous 21 1-5 0-0 2-2 2 2 0 0 1 4 2 -
E. Phillips 21 4-6 2-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 10 3 -
T. Sutton-Brown 15 2-3 0-0 0-2 2 1 0 1 1 4 4 -
J. Davenport 12 2-6 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 4 -1 -
J. Pohlen-Mavunga 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -

* = starter