Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.7% | 62.3% | +2.8 | ✗ (11.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Fever -9 (66-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsey Harding * | 40 | 8-14 | 1-5 | 6-7 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 19 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry * | 37 | 8-18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Sancho Lyttle * | 36 | 6-19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Armintie Herrington * | 30 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Erika de Souza * | 22 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Aneika Morello | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Cathrine Kraayeveld | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Douglas * | 36 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Tamika Catchings * | 33 | 2-11 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Briann January * | 23 | 5-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Shavonte Zellous * | 20 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Tammy Sutton-Brown * | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Erlana Larkins | 24 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Erin Phillips | 20 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Jeanette Pohlen-Mavunga | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Jessica Davenport | 12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
* = starter