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2012-09-30

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Fever Atlanta Dream Spread Result
Elo 64.2% 35.8% -
Bradley-Terry 57.7% 42.3% -
Margin 52.6% 47.4% -0.6 (14.4 off)
Pythagorean 52.4% 47.6% -

Actual: Atlanta Dream -15 (88-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. January 39 10-17 1-1 3-3 3 7 3 0 4 24 16 -
E. Phillips 36 4-6 1-2 1-2 1 1 1 0 2 10 5 -
T. Catchings 35 6-17 3-7 10-12 13 3 3 0 4 25 23 -
E. Larkins 32 5-6 0-0 6-7 7 1 0 1 3 16 16 -
S. Zellous 27 5-8 1-2 3-6 6 3 1 1 2 14 15 -
K. Douglas 18 1-6 1-4 0-3 1 0 0 0 2 3 -4 -
T. Sutton-Brown 13 3-4 0-0 5-8 5 1 1 0 0 11 14 -

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Harding 36 7-20 1-5 2-2 3 6 3 0 4 17 5 -
A. McCoughtry 32 6-12 1-6 9-11 6 5 2 0 3 22 20 -
E. de Souza 31 4-9 0-0 2-2 9 0 1 0 3 10 8 -
A. Herrington 31 2-9 0-0 5-6 3 4 3 1 2 9 9 -
S. Lyttle 30 6-13 0-1 3-3 6 0 2 1 3 15 8 -
T. Hayes 18 2-4 1-2 2-2 2 0 1 0 1 7 5 -
C. Kraayeveld 14 1-1 1-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 3 5 -
A. Henry-Morello 6 0-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
K. Swanier 4 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -

* = starter