Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 16.3% | 83.7% | +9.0 | ✗ (17.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Fever -8 (81-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Charles * | 31 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Asjha Jones * | 29 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Kara Lawson * | 27 | 7-12 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Danielle McCray * | 18 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Allison Hightower * | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Renee Montgomery | 26 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Kalana Greene | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Mistie Bass | 14 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Tan White | 12 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Kelsey Griffin | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Douglas * | 34 | 9-19 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 7 | - |
| Briann January * | 31 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Tamika Catchings * | 31 | 10-15 | 6-9 | 5-5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 20 | - |
| Shavonte Zellous * | 16 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Jessica Davenport * | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Tammy Sutton-Brown | 28 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jeanette Pohlen-Mavunga | 27 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Roneeka Hodges | 9 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Erlana Larkins | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Sasha Goodlett | 3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter