Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.3% | 49.7% | -0.1 | ✗ (6.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +6 (73-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Pohlen-Mavunga | 35 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| E. Phillips | 30 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| K. Christmas-Kelly | 27 | 1-9 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| K. Douglas | 27 | 7-19 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 5 | - |
| T. Catchings | 22 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| E. Larkins | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Davenport | 18 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| T. Sutton-Brown | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| S. Goodlett | 9 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lawson | 36 | 8-16 | 4-10 | 3-3 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 13 | - |
| T. Charles | 33 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 19 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 29 | 2-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -1 | - |
| A. Hightower | 24 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| M. Bass | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | - |
| K. Greene | 20 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | - |
| K. Griffin | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| T. White | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Jones | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter