Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 61.5% | 38.5% | -2.6 | ✗ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +6 (73-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeanette Pohlen-Mavunga * | 35 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Erin Phillips * | 30 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Katie Douglas * | 27 | 7-19 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 5 | - |
| Tamika Catchings * | 22 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Tammy Sutton-Brown * | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Karima Christmas-Kelly | 27 | 1-9 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Erlana Larkins | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jessica Davenport | 17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Sasha Goodlett | 8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kara Lawson * | 35 | 8-16 | 4-10 | 3-3 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 13 | - |
| Tina Charles * | 32 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Allison Hightower * | 24 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Mistie Bass * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Kalana Greene * | 19 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Renee Montgomery | 28 | 2-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Kelsey Griffin | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Tan White | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Asjha Jones | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter