Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.9% | 16.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.4% | 23.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 76.7% | 23.3% | -6.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.0% | 16.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.0% | 16.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever -2 (64-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maya Moore * | 35 | 6-11 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 33 | 6-14 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Taj McWilliams-Franklin * | 30 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Monica Wright * | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Candice Wiggins | 31 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Devereaux Peters | 23 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Amber Harris | 6 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Briann January * | 37 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Tamika Catchings * | 37 | 5-15 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Katie Douglas * | 35 | 6-18 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | - |
| Shavonte Zellous * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Tammy Sutton-Brown * | 14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Erlana Larkins | 25 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Erin Phillips | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Jeanette Pohlen-Mavunga | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jessica Davenport | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter