Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 61.5% | 38.5% | -2.6 | ✗ (14.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +12 (76-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Briann January * | 36 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Tamika Catchings * | 35 | 2-14 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Katie Douglas * | 34 | 11-19 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 12 | - |
| Erlana Larkins * | 32 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Erin Phillips * | 22 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Shavonte Zellous | 15 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Tammy Sutton-Brown | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Jeanette Pohlen-Mavunga | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Charles * | 36 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 24 | - |
| Kara Lawson * | 31 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Asjha Jones * | 30 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | - |
| Allison Hightower * | 28 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Kalana Greene * | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Tan White | 23 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Renee Montgomery | 22 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Mistie Bass | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Danielle McCray | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter