Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.3% | 49.7% | -0.1 | ✗ (12.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +12 (76-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Catchings | 36 | 2-14 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| B. January | 36 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| K. Douglas | 35 | 11-19 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 12 | - |
| E. Larkins | 33 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| E. Phillips | 22 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| S. Zellous | 15 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| T. Sutton-Brown | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| J. Pohlen-Mavunga | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Charles | 37 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 24 | - |
| K. Lawson | 31 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| A. Jones | 30 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | - |
| A. Hightower | 28 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| T. White | 24 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 23 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| M. Bass | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| K. Greene | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. McCray | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter