Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.1% | 61.9% | +2.7 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Mystics +1 (67-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamika Catchings * | 32 | 4-14 | 2-4 | 5-7 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Katie Douglas * | 31 | 2-12 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Briann January * | 30 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Tammy Sutton-Brown * | 26 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Shavonte Zellous * | 21 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Jeanette Pohlen-Mavunga | 23 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Roneeka Hodges | 13 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Jessica Davenport | 9 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Erlana Larkins | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Sasha Goodlett | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Langhorne * | 38 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 23 | - |
| Matee Ajavon * | 25 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Michelle Snow * | 23 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Noelle Quinn * | 21 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas * | 18 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Shannon Bobbitt | 19 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Monique Currie | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Natalie Novosel | 14 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Ashley Robinson | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Lindsay Wisdom-Hylton | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Natasha Lacy | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter