Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.6% | 47.4% | -0.6 | ✓ (15.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream -16 (62-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Catchings | 33 | 7-16 | 2-6 | 9-9 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 23 | - |
| K. Douglas | 29 | 6-17 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 6 | - |
| S. Zellous | 26 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| J. Davenport | 20 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| E. Phillips | 20 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | - |
| B. January | 20 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| J. Pohlen-Mavunga | 14 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| S. Goodlett | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| R. Hodges | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| E. Larkins | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| T. Sutton-Brown | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. McCoughtry | 38 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 11-13 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 15 | - |
| A. Herrington | 34 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | - |
| L. Harding | 31 | 5-14 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 1 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 28 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Y. Leuchanka | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| C. Paris | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| A. Henry-Morello | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| K. Swanier | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| T. Hayes | 6 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| C. Kraayeveld | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Koehn | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter