Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 61.5% | 38.5% | -2.6 | ✗ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +3 (88-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Douglas * | 39 | 9-18 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 21 | - |
| Tamika Catchings * | 35 | 7-17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Briann January * | 35 | 4-13 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Tammy Sutton-Brown * | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Shavonte Zellous * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Jessica Davenport | 27 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Erin Phillips | 26 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Jeanette Pohlen-Mavunga | 12 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Erlana Larkins | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Roneeka Hodges | 6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Charles * | 37 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Kara Lawson * | 34 | 6-11 | 2-6 | 8-8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Asjha Jones * | 31 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Allison Hightower * | 31 | 4-14 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Kalana Greene * | 18 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Renee Montgomery | 28 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Mistie Bass | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Tan White | 15 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Danielle McCray | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Kelsey Griffin | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter