Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.3% | 49.7% | -0.1 | ✗ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +3 (88-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Douglas | 39 | 9-18 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 21 | - |
| B. January | 36 | 4-13 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | - |
| T. Catchings | 36 | 7-17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| J. Davenport | 28 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| E. Phillips | 26 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| T. Sutton-Brown | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| S. Zellous | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| J. Pohlen-Mavunga | 12 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| E. Larkins | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| R. Hodges | 6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Charles | 37 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 8 | - |
| K. Lawson | 34 | 6-11 | 2-6 | 8-8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 20 | - |
| A. Jones | 32 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| A. Hightower | 31 | 4-14 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 28 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| K. Greene | 18 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| M. Bass | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| T. White | 16 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| D. McCray | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K. Griffin | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter