๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2012-07-07

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Sky Indiana Fever Spread Result
Elo 62.4% 37.6% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 60.0% 40.0% - โœ—
Margin 50.5% 49.5% -0.1 โœ— (2.1 off)
Pythagorean 52.7% 47.3% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 60.4% 39.6% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 60.3% 39.7% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 50.6% 49.4% - โœ—

Actual: Indiana Fever +2 (88-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Sky

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sylvia Fowles * 37 11-13 0-0 2-4 16 1 4 2 5 24 29 -
Swin Cash * 36 5-15 1-5 7-8 4 4 1 0 4 18 8 -
Courtney Vandersloot * 24 0-7 0-1 0-0 3 6 0 1 3 0 0 -
Sonja Petrovic * 23 1-5 0-3 0-0 8 2 1 2 3 2 7 -
Tamera Young * 18 2-7 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 2 5 -1 -
Le'coe Willingham 29 3-4 2-3 2-4 0 1 2 1 2 10 8 -
Shay Murphy 28 7-10 4-4 2-2 4 2 1 1 3 20 15 -
Ticha Penicheiro 19 2-4 1-2 0-2 2 4 1 0 2 5 6 -
Ruth Riley 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
Carolyn Swords 2 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shavonte Zellous * 38 6-14 2-5 0-0 5 3 2 2 0 14 12 -
Katie Douglas * 36 2-8 1-3 8-10 5 2 1 1 2 13 12 -
Tamika Catchings * 36 5-15 2-7 6-8 9 6 4 1 4 18 19 -
Briann January * 27 3-10 1-4 6-7 2 2 1 0 3 13 5 -
Tammy Sutton-Brown * 17 1-3 0-0 3-4 2 0 1 2 1 5 6 -
Jeanette Pohlen-Mavunga 28 3-4 2-3 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 8 7 -
Jessica Davenport 23 5-6 0-0 5-9 4 1 1 0 3 15 12 -
Erlana Larkins 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 -
Karima Christmas-Kelly 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Sasha Goodlett 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter