Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.6% | 77.4% | +6.8 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +2 (78-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Charles | 38 | 6-14 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 11 | - |
| K. Lawson | 36 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 17 | - |
| A. Jones | 28 | 7-10 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 18 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 26 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| A. Hightower | 24 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | - |
| K. Greene | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| M. Bass | 14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| T. White | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Catchings | 39 | 7-16 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 12 | - |
| K. Douglas | 37 | 9-19 | 1-6 | 5-6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 8 | - |
| E. Larkins | 28 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| B. January | 27 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| S. Zellous | 26 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| E. Phillips | 22 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| J. Davenport | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J. Pohlen-Mavunga | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter