Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.3% | 86.7% | +10.3 | ✓ (8.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +2 (84-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicole Powell * | 40 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Essence Carson * | 33 | 7-17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell * | 31 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Cappie Pondexter * | 30 | 13-19 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 20 | - |
| Kara Braxton * | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Kelley Cain | 21 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Alex Montgomery | 16 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Katelan Redmon | 7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Douglas * | 32 | 6-15 | 3-7 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Tamika Catchings * | 31 | 9-15 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 11 | - |
| Shavonte Zellous * | 28 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Tammy Sutton-Brown * | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Briann January * | 22 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Jeanette Pohlen-Mavunga | 24 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Erlana Larkins | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jessica Davenport | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Karima Christmas-Kelly | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Sasha Goodlett | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter