Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.3% | 83.7% | +9.0 | ✓ (25.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +34 (95-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asjha Jones * | 29 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Kara Lawson * | 28 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Allison Hightower * | 28 | 4-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Tina Charles * | 25 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Kalana Greene * | 21 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Renee Montgomery | 20 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Mistie Bass | 15 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Tan White | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Kelsey Griffin | 7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Danielle McCray | 4 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Chay Shegog | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamika Catchings * | 28 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 24 | - |
| Katie Douglas * | 27 | 6-14 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 6 | - |
| Briann January * | 26 | 8-14 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 8 | - |
| Shavonte Zellous * | 24 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Tammy Sutton-Brown * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Erin Phillips | 26 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Jessica Davenport | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Jeanette Pohlen-Mavunga | 11 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Erlana Larkins | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Sasha Goodlett | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Roneeka Hodges | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter