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2012-06-03

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Fever New York Liberty Spread Result
Elo 65.8% 34.2% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 56.2% 43.8% - โœ—
Margin 66.9% 33.1% -3.9 โœ— (18.9 off)
Pythagorean 65.9% 34.1% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 79.3% 20.7% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 79.4% 20.6% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 58.8% 41.2% - โœ—

Actual: New York Liberty +15 (87-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Katie Douglas * 32 5-14 3-9 2-2 4 1 2 0 3 15 5 -
Tamika Catchings * 31 6-11 1-3 6-7 6 0 1 0 2 19 13 -
Shavonte Zellous * 22 1-5 0-1 8-10 2 4 1 0 2 10 10 -
Tammy Sutton-Brown * 12 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 2 1 -
Erin Phillips * 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 0 0 -
Briann January 28 5-11 2-3 0-0 6 3 1 0 3 12 8 -
Jessica Davenport 19 3-5 0-0 2-2 4 0 3 3 3 8 10 -
Jeanette Pohlen-Mavunga 13 0-1 0-1 1-1 3 2 1 2 3 1 5 -
Roneeka Hodges 11 2-4 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 5 3 -
Sasha Goodlett 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 0 5 -
Erlana Larkins 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Leilani Mitchell * 33 5-10 3-6 0-0 1 3 3 0 2 13 8 -
Cappie Pondexter * 33 9-21 2-6 5-5 5 2 2 0 3 25 10 -
Essence Carson * 27 5-10 3-5 3-4 4 4 0 1 1 16 14 -
Plenette Pierson * 24 4-7 0-0 8-9 6 4 0 0 3 16 16 -
Kia Vaughn * 23 5-12 0-0 0-0 8 2 1 3 2 10 10 -
Nicole Powell 25 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 2 3 0 2 5 6 -
DeMya Walker 23 1-4 0-0 0-1 5 2 2 1 2 2 6 -
Kara Braxton 7 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter