Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 90.1% | 9.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 84.1% | 15.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 91.9% | 8.1% | -13.4 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 82.2% | 17.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -13 (72-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Douglas | 30 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - |
| B. January | 28 | 8-15 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 11 | - |
| T. Catchings | 28 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| J. Davenport | 24 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 14 | - |
| E. Phillips | 23 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 9 | - |
| S. Zellous | 22 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| E. Larkins | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| T. Sutton-Brown | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K. Christmas-Kelly | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Goodlett | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Pohlen-Mavunga | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Hornbuckle | 34 | 5-14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| D. Bonner | 30 | 5-16 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| K. Thomas | 29 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| S. Prahalis | 27 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 24 | 6-14 | 2-7 | 5-5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | - |
| B. Butler | 19 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| A. Warley-Talbert | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | - |
| N. Sanford | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| D. Simon | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter