Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.6% | 47.4% | -0.6 | ✗ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +7 (71-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Douglas | 38 | 7-16 | 5-11 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 6 | - |
| T. Catchings | 35 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 11 | - |
| B. January | 29 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| S. Zellous | 26 | 1-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -5 | - |
| E. Larkins | 21 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| T. Sutton-Brown | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| E. Phillips | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Davenport | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| J. Pohlen-Mavunga | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Christmas-Kelly | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. de Souza | 34 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| L. Harding | 34 | 7-15 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 11 | - |
| A. McCoughtry | 28 | 6-13 | 1-6 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 9 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 28 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| T. Hayes | 27 | 4-13 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 1 | - |
| A. Herrington | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -1 | - |
| C. Kraayeveld | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Henry-Morello | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Swanier | 6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter