Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 66.9% | 33.1% | -3.9 | ✓ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.3% | 20.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.4% | 20.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Liberty -13 (63-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamika Catchings * | 33 | 7-14 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 18 | - |
| Katie Douglas * | 31 | 5-14 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Shavonte Zellous * | 26 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Briann January * | 26 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Tammy Sutton-Brown * | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Erin Phillips | 22 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Jessica Davenport | 21 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Erlana Larkins | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Jeanette Pohlen-Mavunga | 13 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cappie Pondexter * | 35 | 8-18 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 5 | - |
| Plenette Pierson * | 31 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell * | 29 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Kia Vaughn * | 25 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Nicole Powell * | 25 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Essence Carson | 27 | 8-13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Kara Braxton | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Alex Montgomery | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| DeMya Walker | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter