Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.4% | 84.6% | +9.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +10 (79-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Douglas * | 34 | 7-17 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Tamika Catchings * | 31 | 7-19 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 4 | - |
| Shavonte Zellous * | 27 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Briann January * | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Tammy Sutton-Brown * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Erin Phillips | 26 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Erlana Larkins | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Sasha Goodlett | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jeanette Pohlen-Mavunga | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jessica Davenport | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Karima Christmas-Kelly | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candace Parker * | 35 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Kristi Toliver * | 33 | 6-15 | 2-6 | 7-8 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Alana Beard * | 32 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 6 | - |
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 30 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike * | 26 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Marissa Coleman | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Ebony Hoffman | 8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Nicky Anosike | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Dawn Evans | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| April Sykes | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter