Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.7% | 62.3% | +2.8 | ✓ (11.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +14 (86-72). Ratings: 2013 season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sancho Lyttle * | 31 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry * | 28 | 8-19 | 1-3 | 5-9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 6 | - |
| Erika de Souza * | 27 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Lindsey Harding * | 26 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Armintie Herrington * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Ketia Swanier | 13 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 13 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 8-8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Aneika Morello | 10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Cathrine Kraayeveld | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Laurie Koehn | 7 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Yelena Leuchanka | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Douglas * | 34 | 11-16 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 17 | - |
| Briann January * | 29 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Tamika Catchings * | 28 | 7-14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Shavonte Zellous * | 26 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Tammy Sutton-Brown * | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Erlana Larkins | 26 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Erin Phillips | 16 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Jeanette Pohlen-Mavunga | 7 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Sasha Goodlett | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Karima Christmas-Kelly | 6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jessica Davenport | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter