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2012-08-18

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Dream Indiana Fever Spread Result
Elo 21.8% 78.2% -
Bradley-Terry 29.2% 70.8% -
Margin 21.1% 78.9% +7.3 (6.7 off)
Pythagorean 41.6% 58.4% -

Actual: Indiana Fever +14 (86-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Lyttle 32 1-6 0-3 0-0 3 2 2 2 2 2 3 -
A. McCoughtry 28 8-19 1-3 5-9 4 1 0 1 3 22 6 -
E. de Souza 27 1-2 0-0 2-2 6 1 1 1 2 4 9 -
L. Harding 26 5-11 2-3 0-0 3 2 2 0 3 12 5 -
A. Herrington 24 2-5 0-0 2-5 6 1 0 0 0 6 8 -
K. Swanier 14 1-6 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 2 1 -
T. Hayes 13 2-6 1-1 8-8 2 1 0 0 1 13 9 -
A. Henry-Morello 11 0-4 0-0 3-4 3 1 0 2 0 3 5 -
C. Kraayeveld 10 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 4 -
L. Koehn 8 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
Y. Leuchanka 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Douglas 35 11-16 7-9 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 29 17 -
T. Catchings 29 7-14 3-6 0-0 9 5 1 0 3 17 15 -
B. January 29 4-8 1-4 4-4 5 5 0 2 3 13 14 -
E. Larkins 26 2-3 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 0 1 4 9 -
S. Zellous 26 3-7 0-2 5-6 5 3 0 1 3 11 10 -
E. Phillips 16 2-6 0-2 1-1 2 1 0 0 0 5 2 -
T. Sutton-Brown 12 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
J. Pohlen-Mavunga 8 1-4 0-3 0-0 0 3 1 0 0 2 2 -
S. Goodlett 7 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 -
K. Christmas-Kelly 6 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
J. Davenport 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 2 -

* = starter