Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.1% | 78.9% | +7.3 | ✓ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +14 (86-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Lyttle | 32 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. McCoughtry | 28 | 8-19 | 1-3 | 5-9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 6 | - |
| E. de Souza | 27 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| L. Harding | 26 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| A. Herrington | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| K. Swanier | 14 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T. Hayes | 13 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 8-8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| A. Henry-Morello | 11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| C. Kraayeveld | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| L. Koehn | 8 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Y. Leuchanka | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Douglas | 35 | 11-16 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 17 | - |
| T. Catchings | 29 | 7-14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 15 | - |
| B. January | 29 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 14 | - |
| E. Larkins | 26 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| S. Zellous | 26 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10 | - |
| E. Phillips | 16 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| T. Sutton-Brown | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Pohlen-Mavunga | 8 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Goodlett | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| K. Christmas-Kelly | 6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Davenport | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter