Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.9% | 66.1% | +3.7 | ✓ (8.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +12 (70-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Briann January * | 28 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Katie Douglas * | 28 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Shavonte Zellous * | 24 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Tamika Catchings * | 22 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Tammy Sutton-Brown * | 20 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Erin Phillips | 19 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Erlana Larkins | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Jessica Davenport | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Jeanette Pohlen-Mavunga | 11 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Roneeka Hodges | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Sasha Goodlett | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sancho Lyttle * | 33 | 7-19 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry * | 29 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 9-10 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Armintie Herrington * | 22 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - |
| Aneika Morello * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Ketia Swanier * | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Lindsey Harding | 28 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 24 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Cathrine Kraayeveld | 22 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Yelena Leuchanka | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter