Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.8% | 91.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.8% | 85.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.6% | 91.4% | +13.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +12 (83-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Phillips * | 40 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Briann January * | 39 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Tamika Catchings * | 37 | 9-14 | 3-5 | 6-7 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 27 | 18 | - |
| Shavonte Zellous * | 35 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 4 | - |
| Erlana Larkins * | 34 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Jessica Davenport | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Karima Christmas-Kelly | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jeanette Pohlen-Mavunga | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seimone Augustus * | 37 | 11-23 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 13 | - |
| Maya Moore * | 31 | 7-15 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Taj McWilliams-Franklin * | 31 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 30 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 29 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Candice Wiggins | 15 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Monica Wright | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Devereaux Peters | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Amber Harris | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter