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Illinois Fighting Illini

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Illinois Fighting Illini
Program History
Coach: Brad Underwood

2026 Team Stats (37 games)

83.2
PPG
68.8
Opp
+14.4
Margin
46.1%
FG%
34.5%
3P%
78.0%
FT%
41.1
RPG
14.2
APG
8.8
TO
79.3
Pace
89.3
AdjO
63.7
AdjD
#6
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1319 (#16) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1313 (#17) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 1176 (#10) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → +25.6 (#6) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +38.3 (#4) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.900 (#8) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +28.0 More → 0.941 (#31) NetEff +28.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +34.3 More → 0.982 (#5) AdjNet +34.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +34.7 More → 0.982 (#5) AdjNet +34.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 89.3 | AdjD 63.7 More → 0.911 (#6) AdjO 89.3 | AdjD 63.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 82.4 | AdjD 64.3 More → 0.839 (#5) AdjO 82.4 | AdjD 64.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.970 (#5) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.960 (#5) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 87 | GP 37 More → 1377 (#11) RD 87 | GP 37

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Jackson State Tigers W 113 - 55
2025-11-07 vs Florida Gulf Coast Eagles W 113 - 70
2025-11-11 vs Texas Tech Red Raiders W 81 - 77
2025-11-14 vs Colgate Raiders W 84 - 65
2025-11-19 vs Alabama Crimson Tide L 86 - 90
2025-11-22 vs Long Island University Sharks W 98 - 58
2025-11-24 vs UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros W 87 - 73
2025-11-28 @ UConn Huskies L 61 - 74
2025-12-06 @ Tennessee Volunteers W 75 - 62
2025-12-09 @ Ohio State Buckeyes W 88 - 80
2025-12-13 vs Nebraska Cornhuskers L 80 - 83
2025-12-22 vs Missouri Tigers W 91 - 48
2025-12-29 vs Southern Jaguars W 90 - 55
2026-01-03 @ Penn State Nittany Lions W 73 - 65
2026-01-08 vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights W 81 - 55
2026-01-11 @ Iowa Hawkeyes W 75 - 69
2026-01-14 @ Northwestern Wildcats W 79 - 68
2026-01-17 vs Minnesota Golden Gophers W 77 - 67
2026-01-21 vs Maryland Terrapins W 89 - 70
2026-01-24 @ Purdue Boilermakers W 88 - 82
2026-01-29 vs Washington Huskies W 75 - 66
2026-02-01 @ Nebraska Cornhuskers W 78 - 69
2026-02-04 vs Northwestern Wildcats W 84 - 44
2026-02-07 @ Michigan State Spartans L 82 - 85
2026-02-10 vs Wisconsin Badgers L 90 - 92
2026-02-15 vs Indiana Hoosiers W 71 - 51
2026-02-18 @ USC Trojans W 101 - 65
2026-02-21 @ UCLA Bruins L 94 - 95
2026-02-27 vs Michigan Wolverines L 70 - 84
2026-03-03 vs Oregon Ducks W 80 - 54
2026-03-08 @ Maryland Terrapins W 78 - 72
2026-03-13 vs Wisconsin Badgers L 88 - 91
2026-03-19 vs Pennsylvania Quakers W 105 - 70
2026-03-21 vs VCU Rams W 76 - 55
2026-03-26 @ Houston Cougars W 65 - 55
2026-03-28 vs Iowa Hawkeyes W 71 - 59
2026-04-04 @ UConn Huskies L 62 - 71

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
K. Wagler K. Wagler - 37 34.0 17.9 5.1 4.2 0.9 0.4 1.8 12.3 14.5 35 3.2 9.4 44.5 39.7 79.6 0.99 60.4 54.1
A. Stojakovic A. Stojakovic - 34 26.3 13.5 4.5 1.0 0.4 0.4 1.3 9.9 8.7 168 6.7 18.2 50.0 24.4 80.5 1.57 58.5 53.0
D. Mirkovic D. Mirkovic - 37 29.5 13.3 8.0 2.6 0.4 0.4 1.9 9.8 13.0 208 9.5 23.1 48.4 37.5 75.7 1.23 59.7 56.2
K. Boswell K. Boswell G 30 30.0 12.3 4.0 3.0 0.7 0.0 1.1 9.2 9.7 -31 -4.4 -9.8 44.4 30.7 78.1 1.07 56.6 50.7
T. Ivisic T. Ivisic C 34 25.4 10.4 5.6 1.6 0.3 0.6 1.4 8.0 9.2 53 4.8 20.9 48.3 31.2 77.8 0.51 60.0 57.6
Z. Ivisic Z. Ivisic - 37 17.2 6.4 4.5 0.3 0.2 1.9 0.5 4.6 8.2 125 5.7 24.1 50.9 28.0 69.2 0.7 61.4 59.1
B. Humrichous B. Humrichous F 37 22.5 5.8 3.9 0.8 0.4 0.6 0.2 4.9 6.5 116 5.3 15.4 38.3 36.1 79.2 0.46 55.8 53.8
J. Davis J. Davis F 37 19.6 5.4 2.2 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.2 4.0 4.6 16 0.7 1.7 42.9 40.6 75.0 0.36 62.8 61.2
B. Lee B. Lee - 18 4.2 1.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.0 -16 -1.5 -17.2 44.4 0.0 93.3 0.01 61.0 44.4
M. Petrovic M. Petrovic - 19 5.8 1.6 0.7 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.7 1.9 1.1 12 0.9 7.8 33.3 20.0 83.3 -0.08 40.1 36.1
AJ Redd AJ Redd G 11 2.4 1.4 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.0 0.7 -7 -2.3 -36.7 45.5 33.3 66.7 0.19 55.0 50.0
J. Jakstys J. Jakstys - 9 5.2 1.3 1.9 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.6 3.4 -9 -2.2 -23.7 80.0 0 66.7 0.39 78.5 80.0
B. Fagbemi B. Fagbemi - 11 3.5 0.2 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.0 14 0.7 1.4 20.0 0 0 -0.04 20.0 20.0
Ty Rodgers Ty Rodgers G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG