Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | UConn Huskies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.3% | 45.7% | -0.9 | ✗ (9.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 72.2% | 27.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UConn Huskies +9 (71-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Wagler | 37 | 7-16 | 2-10 | 4-5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 11 | - |
| T. Ivisic | 33 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 6-6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| A. Stojakovic | 29 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| D. Mirkovic | 28 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| B. Humrichous | 26 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| K. Boswell | 24 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| J. Davis | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Z. Ivisic | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UConn Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Karaban | 35 | 1-8 | 1-7 | 6-6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| T. Reed Jr. | 35 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 16 | - |
| S. Demary Jr. | 31 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 16 | - |
| B. Mullins | 30 | 5-14 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 6 | - |
| S. Ball | 28 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 3 | - |
| J. Ross | 20 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| M. Smith | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Stewart | 7 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| E. Reibe | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter