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2026-03-21

Model Predictions

Model VCU Rams Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 47.6% 52.4% -
Bradley-Terry 37.0% 63.0% -
Margin 6.4% 93.6% +14.7 (6.3 off)
Pythagorean 44.0% 56.0% -
Efficiency 14.3% 85.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 4.2% 95.8% -
Log Adjusted 3.8% 96.2% -
Points Off/Def 20.0% 80.0% -

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +21 (76-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

VCU Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Hill Jr. 37 7-16 3-9 0-0 7 1 1 0 3 17 7 -
B. Evans 33 5-9 1-4 0-1 3 2 2 0 1 11 8 -
L. Djokovic 29 0-6 0-3 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 2 -3 -
B. Jennings 26 2-6 1-4 0-0 5 2 2 0 2 5 6 -
T. Ward 25 5-12 1-5 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 11 3 -
J. Tracey 21 3-13 1-6 0-1 3 0 3 0 2 7 -2 -
M. Belle 17 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 1 0 0 0 -
A. Nowell 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Tillery 2 1-1 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
J. Dumont 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Mitchell 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 -
N. Lewis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Boswell 34 4-12 2-5 2-4 4 3 1 0 2 12 6 -
K. Wagler 32 5-10 2-5 2-4 5 2 1 1 2 14 11 -
B. Humrichous 27 1-2 1-2 0-0 3 3 2 0 0 3 9 -
A. Stojakovic 26 7-12 0-2 7-9 4 1 0 1 1 21 14 -
D. Mirkovic 24 3-8 1-3 0-0 5 4 0 0 3 7 5 -
T. Ivisic 22 6-10 2-5 0-0 11 2 0 1 3 14 15 -
Z. Ivisic 17 1-2 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 2 5 -
J. Davis 14 1-1 1-1 0-0 3 0 1 1 0 3 7 -
M. Petrovic 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
B. Fagbemi 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
B. Lee 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
AJ Redd 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter