Model Predictions
| Model | VCU Rams | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.0% | 94.0% | +15.1 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.1% | 95.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.8% | 96.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +21 (76-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrence Hill Jr. | 37 | 7-16 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 7 | -9.4 |
| Barry Evans | 33 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | -14.2 |
| Lazar Djokovic | 29 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | -7.6 |
| Brandon Jennings | 26 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -10.0 |
| Tyrell Ward | 25 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 3 | -9.3 |
| Jadrian Tracey | 21 | 3-13 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -2 | -7.3 |
| Michael Belle | 17 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -11.5 |
| Ahmad Nowell | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.5 |
| Jordan Tillery | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1.8 |
| Jordann Dumont | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.7 |
| Keyshawn Mitchell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +1.8 |
| Nyk Lewis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.8 |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kylan Boswell | 34 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | +18.0 |
| Keaton Wagler | 32 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | +26.3 |
| Ben Humrichous | 27 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | +11.5 |
| Andrej Stojakovic | 26 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 7-9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 14 | +13.8 |
| David Mirkovic | 24 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | +3.0 |
| Tomislav Ivisic | 22 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 15 | +18.8 |
| Zvonimir Ivisic | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | +0.8 |
| Jake Davis | 14 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | +5.4 |
| AJ Redd | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Blake Fagbemi | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.9 |
| Mihailo Petrovic | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| Brandon Lee | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
* = starter