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2025-12-13

Model Predictions

Model Nebraska Cornhuskers Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 21.4% 78.6% -
Bradley-Terry 48.1% 51.9% -
Margin 20.0% 80.0% +7.6 (10.6 off)
Pythagorean 45.6% 54.4% -
Efficiency 10.5% 89.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 24.7% 75.3% -
Log Adjusted 24.3% 75.7% -
Points Off/Def 32.4% 67.6% -

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini -3 (80-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Nebraska Cornhuskers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pr. Sandfort 34 12-18 6-11 2-2 1 3 1 0 1 32 18 +23.6
R. Mast 34 7-15 3-6 0-0 7 2 1 0 2 17 10 +8.4
J. Lawrence 31 5-8 2-4 2-2 3 6 1 0 1 14 15 +14.9
S. Hoiberg 30 3-6 1-1 0-0 5 6 0 0 0 7 12 +28.5
B. Buyuktuncel 26 1-4 0-1 1-2 3 1 3 2 0 3 8 +14.7
C. Jacobsen 16 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -18.1
B. Frager 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -4.7
J. Garcia 13 4-8 0-2 2-2 4 1 0 0 1 10 6 -9.8
K. Blue 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -5.8

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Wagler 40 6-13 4-8 3-3 1 10 1 1 3 19 16 -8.9
K. Boswell 37 5-9 3-6 7-9 3 3 0 0 0 20 17 -3.3
T. Ivisic 29 1-3 1-3 0-1 5 2 1 2 1 3 9 -1.1
A. Stojakovic 27 8-16 0-3 3-3 10 1 0 1 1 19 14 -9.6
D. Mirkovic 23 2-4 0-1 0-1 2 1 0 0 3 4 0 -14.3
J. Davis 17 2-5 1-4 0-1 3 1 0 0 0 5 4 +6.1
B. Humrichous 16 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 3 -5.6
Z. Ivisic 11 3-5 0-1 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 7 5 -8.5

* = starter