Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern Wildcats | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.5% | 94.5% | +20.1 | ✓ (19.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.8% | 95.2% | +16.4 | ✓ (23.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.8% | 98.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.2% | 97.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.1% | 97.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +40 (84-44). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Martinelli * | 27 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -2 | -32.4 |
| Jake West * | 25 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | -16.7 |
| Jayden Reid * | 23 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | -21.1 |
| Tre Singleton * | 22 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | -18.8 |
| Tyler Kropp * | 21 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -9.2 |
| Arrinten Page | 18 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | -19.9 |
| Angelo Ciaravino | 16 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -1.7 |
| Phoenix Gill | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -6.3 |
| Justin Mullins | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -17.3 |
| Max Green | 10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4.1 |
| K.J. Windham | 7 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +4.1 |
| Jordan Clayton | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -8.7 |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keaton Wagler * | 30 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 15 | +45.8 |
| Jake Davis * | 28 | 3-11 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | +17.1 |
| Andrej Stojakovic * | 28 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 9-10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 16 | +19.3 |
| David Mirkovic * | 27 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 13 | +27.2 |
| Tomislav Ivisic * | 24 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 13 | +17.8 |
| Ben Humrichous | 26 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | +24.6 |
| Zvonimir Ivisic | 21 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 14 | +31.9 |
| Mihailo Petrovic | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -4.6 |
| Brandon Lee | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -2.3 |
| Blake Fagbemi | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.2 |
| AJ Redd | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.1 |
* = starter