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2026-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Northwestern Wildcats Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 11.0% 89.0% -
Bradley-Terry 17.6% 82.4% -
Margin 5.1% 94.9% +16.1 (23.9 off)
Pythagorean 35.2% 64.8% -
Efficiency 2.4% 97.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 2.4% 97.6% -
Log Adjusted 2.3% 97.7% -
Points Off/Def 17.8% 82.2% -

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +40 (84-44). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Martinelli 27 2-10 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 4 -2 -
J. West 25 2-6 1-3 0-2 1 1 0 0 0 5 1 -
J. Reid 23 3-10 1-5 0-0 0 4 1 0 0 7 2 -
T. Singleton 22 3-7 0-2 2-2 4 1 1 1 0 8 8 -
T. Kropp 21 3-7 0-1 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 6 4 -
A. Page 18 2-5 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 -1 -
A. Ciaravino 16 2-5 0-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
P. Gill 15 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
M. Green 10 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 3 2 -
J. Mullins 10 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
K.J. Windham 7 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 3 3 -
J. Clayton 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Wagler 30 4-8 3-5 2-4 7 5 0 0 2 13 15 -
J. Davis 28 3-11 3-10 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 9 3 -
A. Stojakovic 28 4-8 0-2 9-10 4 2 1 0 0 17 16 -
D. Mirkovic 27 4-6 4-5 0-0 7 2 0 0 2 12 13 -
B. Humrichous 26 5-8 3-6 0-0 7 1 0 0 0 13 13 -
T. Ivisic 24 2-6 1-4 0-0 12 5 0 1 4 5 13 -
Z. Ivisic 21 5-8 3-5 0-0 7 1 0 2 1 13 14 -
B. Lee 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
M. Petrovic 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 -
B. Fagbemi 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
AJ Redd 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter