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2026-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Rutgers Scarlet Knights Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 5.1% 94.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 10.2% 89.8% - โœ“
Margin 1.3% 98.7% +24.0 โœ“ (2.0 off)
Pythagorean 23.2% 76.8% - โœ“
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 10.2% 89.8% - โœ“

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +26 (81-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Harun Zrno 27 4-9 3-5 0-0 5 2 0 0 0 11 9 +10.7
Kaden Powers 24 5-12 2-5 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 12 1 +8.9
Jamichael Davis 24 0-8 0-5 0-0 2 3 2 0 0 0 -1 +0.1
Darren Buchanan Jr. 24 4-7 1-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 9 6 -4.1
Emmanuel Ogbole 20 2-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 3 1 4 9 +6.8
Tariq Francis 17 3-10 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 6 -4 +10.7
Bryce Dortch 15 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 0 4 7 +1.3
Dylan Grant 15 0-2 0-1 2-4 3 0 0 0 0 2 3 +11.2
Lino Mark 14 1-6 0-1 1-2 0 0 2 1 2 3 -2 -
Christopher Nwuli 14 2-3 0-1 0-2 3 0 1 0 1 4 4 -4.4
Baye Fall 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Denis Badalau 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.9

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keaton Wagler 32 5-12 1-4 6-7 7 3 0 0 2 17 13 -3.7
Kylan Boswell 30 4-7 1-4 0-0 5 5 0 0 1 9 11 -6.3
David Mirkovic 26 2-8 1-4 3-4 7 3 0 0 0 8 10 -6.2
Tomislav Ivisic 26 5-10 2-6 2-2 4 1 1 1 2 14 9 -13.1
Andrej Stojakovic 25 4-6 1-2 3-4 8 0 0 1 2 12 13 -9.9
Jake Davis 21 4-7 4-7 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 12 9 -
Ben Humrichous 17 1-4 1-4 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 3 2 -2.1
Zvonimir Ivisic 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 0 2 5 +5.0
Mihailo Petrovic 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Brandon Lee 3 0-2 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 +0.7
Jason Jakstys 1 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 +0.9
Blake Fagbemi 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.8
AJ Redd 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.9

* = starter