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2026-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Wisconsin Badgers Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 35.6% 64.4% -
Bradley-Terry 30.4% 69.6% -
Margin 14.1% 85.9% +9.9 (12.9 off)
Pythagorean 41.8% 58.2% -
Efficiency 78.9% 21.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 13.2% 86.8% -
Log Adjusted 12.9% 87.1% -
Points Off/Def 27.6% 72.4% -

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini -3 (88-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Blackwell 44 9-17 4-12 9-9 6 1 0 0 0 31 21 -
A. Bieliauskas 41 2-5 1-3 1-4 9 4 0 1 0 6 15 -
N. Boyd 40 12-20 2-8 12-13 5 6 3 0 3 38 29 -
A. Rapp 39 2-9 2-8 2-2 9 4 0 0 0 8 12 -
A. Rohde 38 1-8 1-6 0-0 4 1 1 1 1 3 1 -
B. Carrington 14 1-6 0-4 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -2 -
H. Jones 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 -
W. Garlock 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Wagler 43 8-18 1-6 2-3 1 8 0 0 3 19 7 -
D. Mirkovic 36 8-13 2-7 1-3 5 5 0 0 1 19 15 -
A. Stojakovic 32 6-13 1-2 4-6 7 0 1 1 0 17 13 -
J. Davis 28 2-4 2-4 0-1 3 2 0 0 0 6 7 -
T. Ivisic 24 3-8 1-5 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 9 2 -
B. Humrichous 23 0-1 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 1 1 0 4 -
Z. Ivisic 21 4-8 1-5 0-0 7 0 0 0 0 9 8 -
K. Boswell 18 4-5 1-1 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 9 8 -
M. Petrovic 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Lee 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter