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2026-02-10

Model Predictions

Model Wisconsin Badgers Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 35.6% 64.4% -
Bradley-Terry 30.4% 69.6% -
Margin 14.1% 85.9% +9.9 (11.9 off)
Pythagorean 41.8% 58.2% -
Efficiency 78.9% 21.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 13.2% 86.8% -
Log Adjusted 12.9% 87.1% -
Points Off/Def 27.6% 72.4% -

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini -2 (90-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Blackwell 43 9-22 5-11 1-2 3 4 1 1 1 24 10 -
N. Boyd 39 10-19 3-5 2-3 2 5 2 0 0 25 15 -
N. Winter 36 2-8 0-3 0-0 11 1 0 1 0 4 9 -
A. Rapp 31 6-11 4-7 2-3 5 3 2 1 0 18 18 -
A. Rohde 23 2-6 0-2 2-2 4 3 3 0 1 6 9 -
B. Carrington 22 2-5 2-3 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 8 7 -
A. Bieliauskas 20 2-4 2-4 1-2 4 0 0 0 1 7 6 -
J. Janicki 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
W. Garlock 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Wagler 44 12-23 5-10 5-8 1 7 0 0 5 34 14 -
B. Humrichous 43 4-6 2-4 0-0 7 1 0 0 0 10 12 -
T. Ivisic 37 8-13 3-6 0-2 11 3 0 1 2 19 19 -
J. Davis 37 3-6 2-5 3-3 2 3 0 1 1 11 10 -
D. Mirkovic 33 3-7 3-6 3-6 6 1 0 1 4 12 9 -
Z. Ivisic 30 2-5 0-2 0-0 9 0 0 3 1 4 10 -
B. Lee 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter