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2026-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Illinois Fighting Illini Northwestern Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 80.3% 19.7% -
Bradley-Terry 72.5% 27.5% -
Margin 89.2% 10.8% -11.6 (0.6 off)
Pythagorean 58.8% 41.2% -
Efficiency 91.6% 8.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 91.6% 8.4% -
Log Adjusted 91.7% 8.3% -
Points Off/Def 72.8% 27.2% -

Actual: Northwestern Wildcats -11 (68-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Boswell 37 6-11 0-2 1-1 4 6 2 0 2 13 12 +13.9
K. Wagler 33 8-17 3-7 3-3 5 3 0 0 2 22 11 +6.1
D. Mirkovic 29 2-4 2-2 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 6 7 +8.3
T. Ivisic 26 8-15 4-10 1-1 7 1 0 0 1 21 13 +15.7
A. Stojakovic 23 2-5 0-1 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 4 4 +18.4
J. Davis 20 2-3 1-2 1-1 1 1 1 0 0 6 6 +3.1
B. Humrichous 15 1-5 1-4 2-2 2 0 1 0 0 5 3 +4.6
Z. Ivisic 14 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 2 0 2 4 -1.3
B. Lee 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Martinelli 37 5-12 2-4 8-8 4 2 0 0 1 20 13 -1.8
T. Singleton 34 3-11 0-4 0-0 6 1 1 0 0 6 3 -12.2
J. Reid 32 9-15 4-6 6-7 4 3 2 0 1 28 21 -2.9
A. Page 30 3-7 1-3 0-0 8 1 0 2 3 7 8 -10.8
J. West 21 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 1 2 3 3 +1.6
A. Ciaravino 19 1-4 1-2 1-2 1 0 1 1 0 4 3 -7.0
M. Green 13 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 1 0 0 1 -9.2
J. Clayton 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -9.5
T. Kropp 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -9.5

* = starter