Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.3% | 19.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.5% | 27.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 89.2% | 10.8% | -11.6 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 91.6% | 8.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.6% | 8.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.7% | 8.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 72.8% | 27.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats -11 (68-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Boswell | 37 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | +13.9 |
| K. Wagler | 33 | 8-17 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 11 | +6.1 |
| D. Mirkovic | 29 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | +8.3 |
| T. Ivisic | 26 | 8-15 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 13 | +15.7 |
| A. Stojakovic | 23 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +18.4 |
| J. Davis | 20 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | +3.1 |
| B. Humrichous | 15 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +4.6 |
| Z. Ivisic | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1.3 |
| B. Lee | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Martinelli | 37 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 8-8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 13 | -1.8 |
| T. Singleton | 34 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -12.2 |
| J. Reid | 32 | 9-15 | 4-6 | 6-7 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 21 | -2.9 |
| A. Page | 30 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -10.8 |
| J. West | 21 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +1.6 |
| A. Ciaravino | 19 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -7.0 |
| M. Green | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -9.2 |
| J. Clayton | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -9.5 |
| T. Kropp | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -9.5 |
* = starter