Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.3% | 12.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.3% | 20.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 89.6% | 10.4% | -11.9 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 92.2% | 7.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.7% | 8.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.9% | 8.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 72.7% | 27.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats -11 (68-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kylan Boswell | 37 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Keaton Wagler | 33 | 8-17 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 11 | - |
| David Mirkovic | 29 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Tomislav Ivisic | 26 | 8-15 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Andrej Stojakovic | 23 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jake Davis | 20 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Ben Humrichous | 15 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Zvonimir Ivisic | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Brandon Lee | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Martinelli | 37 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 8-8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Tre Singleton | 34 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Jayden Reid | 32 | 9-15 | 4-6 | 6-7 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 21 | - |
| Arrinten Page | 30 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Jake West | 21 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Angelo Ciaravino | 19 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Max Green | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jordan Clayton | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tyler Kropp | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter