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2026-01-11

Model Predictions

Model Illinois Fighting Illini Iowa Hawkeyes Spread Result
Elo 56.7% 43.3% -
Bradley-Terry 59.0% 41.0% -
Margin 69.7% 30.3% -4.6 (1.4 off)
Pythagorean 50.2% 49.8% -
Points Off/Def 49.3% 50.7% -

Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes -6 (69-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Boswell 38 7-13 1-5 2-2 4 3 3 0 1 17 13 -1.4
D. Mirkovic 35 3-7 1-3 0-0 12 5 1 0 2 7 16 +0.4
K. Wagler 34 5-9 4-7 5-6 5 4 0 0 3 19 16 -1.4
A. Stojakovic 33 7-16 1-5 2-3 5 0 2 0 1 17 7 +2.6
T. Ivisic 20 3-6 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 2 3 7 3 -4.0
Z. Ivisic 15 3-5 2-4 0-0 2 1 0 1 2 8 5 +3.2
B. Humrichous 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 0 5 -2.6
J. Davis 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -3.9

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Koch 34 4-12 2-8 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 10 3 +1.9
A. Folgueiras 34 2-9 2-7 2-2 8 3 1 1 4 8 8 +2.3
B. Stirtz 33 5-17 2-8 0-0 1 6 0 0 1 12 1 +1.3
T. Sage 29 4-6 1-3 4-4 4 1 0 1 0 13 13 +8.4
K. Combs 25 1-3 1-1 0-0 1 2 2 0 2 3 3 +1.3
T. Banks 25 8-14 0-1 0-0 7 5 2 0 0 16 16 +8.5
I. Howard 12 3-4 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 7 6 -5.9
C. Manyawu 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -5.9

* = starter