Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.5% | 45.5% | -1.0 | ✗ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +3 (85-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Wagler | 41 | 2-16 | 2-8 | 10-12 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 7 | - |
| D. Mirkovic | 36 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 7-8 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 19 | - |
| A. Stojakovic | 35 | 8-14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 10 | - |
| T. Ivisic | 29 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| J. Davis | 29 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| B. Humrichous | 29 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Z. Ivisic | 26 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| B. Lee | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Fears Jr. | 43 | 7-19 | 0-3 | 12-13 | 3 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 24 | - |
| C. Carr | 37 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| C. Cooper | 37 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 15 | - |
| J. Kohler | 35 | 4-12 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 17 | - |
| J. Scott | 28 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| C. Ward | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| K. Teng | 16 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | - |
| T. Fort | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. McCulloch | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Wojcik | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter