Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Houston Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.3% | 57.7% | +1.7 | ✗ (11.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Cougars -10 (55-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Wagler | 38 | 4-14 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| D. Mirkovic | 34 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| K. Boswell | 30 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 6-10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| T. Ivisic | 29 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| A. Stojakovic | 28 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| B. Humrichous | 16 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Davis | 13 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Z. Ivisic | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Sharp | 39 | 7-16 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 5 | - |
| K. Flemings | 37 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| M. Uzan | 37 | 2-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| C. Cenac Jr. | 27 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| J. Tugler | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| C. McCarty | 20 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| K. Sakho | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Miller | 7 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
* = starter