Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Houston Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.7% | 57.3% | +1.6 | ✗ (11.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Cougars -10 (55-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keaton Wagler | 38 | 4-14 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| David Mirkovic | 34 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Kylan Boswell | 30 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 6-10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Tomislav Ivisic | 29 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Andrej Stojakovic | 28 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Ben Humrichous | 16 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Jake Davis | 13 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Zvonimir Ivisic | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emanuel Sharp | 39 | 7-16 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 5 | - |
| Milos Uzan | 37 | 2-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Kingston Flemings | 37 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Chris Cenac Jr | 27 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Joseph Tugler | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Chase McCarty | 20 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Kalifa Sakho | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Mercy Miller | 7 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
* = starter