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2026-03-03

Model Predictions

Model Oregon Ducks Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 9.5% 90.5% -
Bradley-Terry 9.9% 90.1% -
Margin 2.4% 97.6% +20.5 (5.5 off)
Pythagorean 26.7% 73.3% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -
Points Off/Def 13.2% 86.8% -

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +26 (80-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Evans Jr. 36 4-13 1-6 4-4 8 1 0 2 1 13 10 -
N. Bittle 35 7-15 1-7 0-0 5 0 1 3 3 15 6 -
TK Simpkins 33 4-12 1-4 0-0 6 5 0 0 0 9 8 -
S. Stewart 28 1-5 0-0 1-2 8 1 0 0 0 3 7 -
D. Carter 18 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 0 1 -
D. Lindsay 16 0-5 0-3 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 -3 -
J. Phillips 14 0-4 0-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -3 -
O. Kobzystyi 11 3-4 1-2 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 7 3 -
L. Johnson 7 1-2 1-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 5 3 -
Efe Vatan 2 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Wagler 34 4-11 2-6 1-2 6 5 0 0 1 11 10 -
D. Mirkovic 27 8-15 3-8 0-0 7 1 0 0 1 19 11 -
T. Ivisic 24 1-6 0-4 0-0 8 2 2 0 2 2 6 -
J. Davis 22 1-5 1-5 2-3 1 1 1 0 0 5 3 -
K. Boswell 22 1-6 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 -1 -
B. Humrichous 22 2-5 2-4 0-0 3 0 2 1 0 6 7 -
A. Stojakovic 21 7-12 0-2 7-7 12 2 1 0 0 21 24 -
Z. Ivisic 17 3-6 0-2 2-2 5 0 0 2 0 8 9 -
B. Lee 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Petrovic 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
AJ Redd 3 2-4 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 1 -
B. Fagbemi 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter