🐻⬇️🏀

Minnesota Golden Gophers 67
@
Illinois Fighting Illini 77
2026-01-17

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Golden Gophers Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 7.1% 92.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 14.6% 85.4% - ✓
Margin 3.2% 96.8% +18.7 ✓ (8.7 off)
Pythagorean 34.7% 65.3% - ✓
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - ✓
Points Off/Def 14.8% 85.2% - ✓

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +10 (77-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Golden Gophers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Tyson 39 6-13 1-3 2-2 8 1 1 1 3 15 10 -2.1
B. Durkin 39 2-8 1-6 0-0 1 3 2 0 1 5 2 -3.8
L. Reynolds 37 5-8 1-3 0-0 2 5 1 0 1 11 10 -11.9
I. Asuma 36 3-12 3-8 0-0 7 4 2 1 2 9 9 -4.5
J. Crocker-Johnson 29 8-18 5-12 1-1 8 3 1 0 0 22 16 +1.7
G. Grove 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -7.2
K. Shinholster 9 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 0 -0.1

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Wagler 38 5-12 4-8 3-4 4 5 2 0 1 17 15 +11.6
D. Mirkovic 32 4-10 3-5 1-2 8 2 0 1 4 12 9 +5.8
K. Boswell 30 2-6 1-4 4-5 3 3 1 0 2 9 8 -3.3
T. Ivisic 26 4-9 2-4 0-0 7 1 0 0 1 10 8 -4.0
A. Stojakovic 22 2-5 1-2 2-2 2 3 0 0 0 7 7 -0.5
Z. Ivisic 18 5-8 2-5 6-6 9 0 2 3 2 18 22 +14.8
J. Davis 18 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 +8.0
B. Humrichous 9 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 -1 -1.7
M. Petrovic 7 2-4 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 3 +5.8

* = starter