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Texas Tech Red Raiders 77
@
Illinois Fighting Illini 81
2025-11-11

Model Predictions

Model Texas Tech Red Raiders Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 29.4% 70.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 32.7% 67.3% - ✓
Margin 19.7% 80.3% +7.7 ✓ (3.7 off)
Pythagorean 42.3% 57.7% - ✓
Efficiency 47.9% 52.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 19.1% 80.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 18.9% 81.1% - ✓
Points Off/Def 31.0% 69.0% - ✓

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +4 (81-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas Tech Red Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Anderson * 39 4-12 0-6 0-0 3 11 2 0 3 8 9 -
JT Toppin * 39 17-25 1-2 0-1 11 3 3 3 6 35 24 +1.1
D. Atwell * 34 1-4 1-4 0-0 7 1 1 0 0 3 8 +1.1
L. Watts * 30 8-10 2-2 3-3 4 2 0 0 3 21 14 +1.1
T. Bryan * 26 1-4 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 +1.1
J. Petty 18 2-5 1-2 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 5 3 +1.1
N. Groves 9 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
M. Akuentok 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Boswell * 38 5-10 3-5 9-12 2 3 1 0 4 22 14 -0.9
D. Mirkovic * 36 5-13 1-5 0-1 4 1 2 0 3 11 2 -0.8
K. Wagler * 35 3-9 0-3 5-6 7 0 0 0 3 11 6 -0.9
Z. Ivisic * 24 4-6 2-4 1-2 7 0 0 3 2 11 13 -0.9
J. Davis * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -0.9
A. Stojakovic 26 11-16 0-1 1-2 3 1 3 2 1 23 15 -
B. Humrichous 23 1-5 1-4 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 3 4 -
J. Jakstys 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter