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2026-02-27

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 67.0% 33.0% -
Bradley-Terry 71.9% 28.1% -
Margin 64.5% 35.5% -3.3 (10.7 off)
Pythagorean 47.9% 52.1% -
Efficiency 20.2% 79.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 66.1% 33.9% -
Log Adjusted 66.4% 33.6% -
Points Off/Def 55.8% 44.2% -

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini -14 (70-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Y. Lendeborg 39 6-11 2-6 2-2 7 4 2 2 1 16 19 -
M. Johnson Jr. 33 6-10 1-2 6-8 11 1 1 0 1 19 21 -
E. Cadeau 27 3-9 0-3 1-2 3 5 1 0 0 7 7 -
T. McKenney 22 2-6 2-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 6 -2 -
A. Mara 22 8-9 0-0 3-3 5 2 0 2 2 19 17 -
W. Tschetter 17 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
N. Burnett 17 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 3 2 -
L.J. Cason 13 3-5 1-2 2-2 1 2 1 0 2 9 6 -
R. Gayle Jr. 10 1-4 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -3 -

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Wagler 38 7-17 3-6 6-7 4 3 2 0 4 23 11 -
D. Mirkovic 36 5-10 1-3 1-1 10 2 1 1 2 12 14 -
K. Boswell 34 6-14 1-6 2-4 1 2 2 0 2 15 4 -
T. Ivisic 27 3-10 1-6 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 7 3 -
J. Davis 23 2-4 2-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
B. Humrichous 19 2-3 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 5 6 -
A. Stojakovic 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Z. Ivisic 11 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 -

* = starter