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2026-02-27

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 65.1% 34.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 68.4% 31.6% - โœ“
Margin 65.2% 34.8% -3.5 โœ“ (10.5 off)
Pythagorean 47.9% 52.1% - โœ—
Efficiency 58.6% 41.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 68.2% 31.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 68.6% 31.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 55.6% 44.4% - โœ“

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini -14 (70-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Yaxel Lendeborg 39 6-11 2-6 2-2 7 4 2 2 1 16 19 +18.8
Morez Johnson Jr. 33 6-10 1-2 6-8 11 1 1 0 1 19 21 +2.8
Elliot Cadeau 27 3-9 0-3 1-2 3 5 1 0 0 7 7 +2.1
Trey McKenney 22 2-6 2-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 6 -2 +15.0
Aday Mara 22 8-9 0-0 3-3 5 2 0 2 2 19 17 +10.0
Will Tschetter 17 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 3 +13.2
Nimari Burnett 17 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 3 2 -5.0
L.J. Cason 13 3-5 1-2 2-2 1 2 1 0 2 9 6 +2.7
Roddy Gayle Jr. 10 1-4 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -3 -6.2

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keaton Wagler 38 7-17 3-6 6-7 4 3 2 0 4 23 11 +6.6
David Mirkovic 36 5-10 1-3 1-1 10 2 1 1 2 12 14 +5.0
Kylan Boswell 34 6-14 1-6 2-4 1 2 2 0 2 15 4 +11.1
Tomislav Ivisic 27 3-10 1-6 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 7 3 -12.9
Jake Davis 23 2-4 2-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 3 -15.0
Ben Humrichous 19 2-3 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 5 6 +0.1
Andrej Stojakovic 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 +0.1
Zvonimir Ivisic 11 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 -4.5

* = starter