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2026-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Illinois Fighting Illini UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 71.4% 28.6% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 57.2% 42.8% - โœ—
Margin 77.4% 22.6% -6.8 โœ— (7.8 off)
Pythagorean 52.6% 47.4% - โœ—
Efficiency 84.0% 16.0% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 82.6% 17.4% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 82.8% 17.2% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 63.1% 36.9% - โœ—

Actual: UCLA Bruins +1 (95-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keaton Wagler 39 5-15 1-6 8-8 8 6 1 2 2 19 19 +11.3
Kylan Boswell 33 4-9 2-4 3-4 6 5 1 0 0 13 16 +3.8
Tomislav Ivisic 33 5-9 1-5 5-6 6 2 0 0 2 16 13 +0.3
Ben Humrichous 29 5-10 5-10 0-0 5 1 0 1 0 15 12 -0.4
Andrej Stojakovic 27 1-5 0-3 6-9 3 1 0 0 2 8 5 -6.5
David Mirkovic 25 1-7 0-4 1-2 5 4 0 0 2 3 3 -7.9
Jake Davis 22 3-8 3-8 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 9 4 -6.0
Zvonimir Ivisic 17 4-6 1-2 2-2 3 0 0 2 0 11 10 +0.2

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trent Perry 45 4-9 2-4 7-7 4 4 0 0 0 17 16 +9.5
Donovan Dent 42 5-15 0-2 4-6 3 15 1 1 0 14 19 +15.0
Tyler Bilodeau 35 6-11 2-5 4-4 4 0 1 0 2 18 10 -1.0
Eric Dailey Jr. 29 8-13 3-6 1-2 6 2 2 0 2 20 15 +12.2
Skyy Clark 26 4-7 2-4 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 10 3 +10.8
Xavier Booker 24 7-8 2-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 16 12 -0.8
Eric Freeny 11 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 +8.8
Jamar Brown 10 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -17.0
Steven Jamerson II 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +3.5
Brandon Williams 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.1

* = starter