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2026-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Illinois Fighting Illini UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 61.0% 39.0% -
Bradley-Terry 50.1% 49.9% -
Margin 77.1% 22.9% -6.7 (7.7 off)
Pythagorean 52.6% 47.4% -
Efficiency 94.5% 5.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 82.5% 17.5% -
Log Adjusted 82.8% 17.2% -
Points Off/Def 63.0% 37.0% -

Actual: UCLA Bruins +1 (95-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Wagler 39 5-15 1-6 8-8 8 6 1 2 2 19 19 -
K. Boswell 33 4-9 2-4 3-4 6 5 1 0 0 13 16 -
T. Ivisic 33 5-9 1-5 5-6 6 2 0 0 2 16 13 -
B. Humrichous 29 5-10 5-10 0-0 5 1 0 1 0 15 12 -
A. Stojakovic 27 1-5 0-3 6-9 3 1 0 0 2 8 5 -
D. Mirkovic 25 1-7 0-4 1-2 5 4 0 0 2 3 3 -
J. Davis 22 3-8 3-8 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 9 4 -
Z. Ivisic 17 4-6 1-2 2-2 3 0 0 2 0 11 10 -

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Perry 45 4-9 2-4 7-7 4 4 0 0 0 17 16 -
D. Dent 42 5-15 0-2 4-6 3 15 1 1 0 14 19 -
T. Bilodeau 35 6-11 2-5 4-4 4 0 1 0 2 18 10 -
E. Dailey Jr. 29 8-13 3-6 1-2 6 2 2 0 2 20 15 -
S. Clark 26 4-7 2-4 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 10 3 -
X. Booker 24 7-8 2-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 16 12 -
E. Freeny 11 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
J. Brown 10 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Jamerson II 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Williams 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter