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Illinois Fighting Illini 78
@
Maryland Terrapins 72
2026-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Illinois Fighting Illini Maryland Terrapins Spread Result
Elo 88.6% 11.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 78.0% 22.0% - ✓
Margin 97.2% 2.8% -19.4 ✓ (13.4 off)
Pythagorean 75.7% 24.3% - ✓
Efficiency 97.0% 3.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 95.8% 4.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 95.9% 4.1% - ✓
Points Off/Def 84.5% 15.5% - ✓

Actual: Maryland Terrapins -6 (72-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Mirkovic 36 9-13 0-1 4-5 11 3 1 0 2 22 22 -
K. Wagler 34 3-10 0-4 5-7 3 3 3 1 2 11 9 -
B. Humrichous 27 2-8 2-8 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 6 2 -
Z. Ivisic 23 3-5 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 8 5 -
K. Boswell 21 3-5 1-2 4-4 1 3 0 0 2 11 8 -
J. Davis 21 3-5 2-4 0-0 2 1 1 1 0 8 8 -
T. Ivisic 19 1-3 0-2 2-2 4 3 0 0 0 4 8 -
A. Stojakovic 19 2-6 0-2 4-6 2 0 0 0 1 8 3 -

Maryland Terrapins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Saunders 35 2-6 1-5 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 5 2 -
A. Mills 34 10-18 2-8 8-10 4 3 1 0 3 30 17 -
C. Metcalf 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 2 1 0 7 -
D. Coit 28 4-12 2-9 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 10 2 -
D. Adams 25 6-12 2-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 14 4 -
S. Washington 21 2-3 1-1 0-0 7 1 1 1 2 5 10 -
I. Watts 13 2-3 1-2 2-3 0 0 0 0 0 7 4 -
G. Del Pino 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
G. Turkson Jr. 6 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -

* = starter