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2025-12-09

Model Predictions

Model Illinois Fighting Illini Ohio State Buckeyes Spread Result
Elo 68.1% 31.9% -
Bradley-Terry 69.3% 30.7% -
Margin 72.9% 27.1% -5.5 (2.5 off)
Pythagorean 51.7% 48.3% -
Points Off/Def 49.7% 50.3% -

Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes -8 (80-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Wagler * 39 6-11 3-5 8-9 2 5 0 0 2 23 17 +3.3
D. Mirkovic * 33 5-11 4-5 8-8 9 1 0 0 2 22 19 +5.5
K. Boswell * 31 1-4 1-2 1-2 4 1 0 0 1 4 4 -0.2
A. Stojakovic * 27 5-10 0-3 7-7 4 1 0 0 3 17 9 +1.6
T. Ivisic * 27 2-9 1-6 2-2 2 2 0 1 0 7 3 -2.2
B. Humrichous 20 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 2 0 1 0 0 4 +1.5
Z. Ivisic 18 4-6 2-4 3-4 8 0 0 1 0 13 16 +5.4
J. Davis 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 +1.8
M. Petrovic 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Thornton * 40 13-17 6-9 2-2 6 6 2 0 2 34 29 -2.8
D. Royal * 37 4-15 1-6 6-6 3 1 0 0 1 15 3 -2.3
J. Mobley Jr. * 31 4-11 1-6 2-6 2 1 0 0 0 11 3 -1.0
C. Tilly * 31 4-10 0-4 5-7 8 1 1 1 1 13 13 -3.3
B. Noel * 21 2-4 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 5 4 +0.0
A. Bynum 21 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 2 -1.8
C. White 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1.5
G. Cupps 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.8
I. Njegovan 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 +2.2

* = starter