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2026-03-28

Model Predictions

Model Iowa Hawkeyes Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 25.1% 74.9% -
Bradley-Terry 36.5% 63.5% -
Margin 15.4% 84.6% +9.4 (2.6 off)
Pythagorean 44.0% 56.0% -
Efficiency 2.7% 97.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 16.0% 84.0% -
Log Adjusted 15.9% 84.1% -
Points Off/Def 28.1% 71.9% -

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +12 (71-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Stirtz 40 8-17 4-11 4-4 3 3 0 0 2 24 11 -
C. Koch 39 2-5 2-5 0-0 3 2 0 2 0 6 8 -
C. Manyawu 26 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 3 0 0 1 4 8 -
T. Banks 25 1-8 1-3 2-2 3 2 1 0 1 5 2 -
K. Combs 24 2-5 1-4 0-0 1 2 2 0 1 5 4 -
I. Howard 19 1-3 1-3 2-4 0 0 1 0 0 5 3 -
T. Sage 18 2-4 2-3 4-4 3 0 0 0 1 10 8 -
A. Folgueiras 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 1 2 0 -2 -

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Mirkovic 38 3-9 0-1 3-4 12 2 2 1 2 9 15 -
K. Wagler 38 8-17 2-7 7-7 2 3 1 0 2 25 12 -
A. Stojakovic 27 7-9 0-0 3-4 5 0 1 0 3 17 11 -
T. Ivisic 27 6-11 1-4 0-0 4 1 0 2 1 13 8 -
K. Boswell 26 0-2 0-1 2-2 2 2 2 0 0 2 6 -
B. Humrichous 20 0-2 0-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
J. Davis 13 0-1 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 1 0 1 3 -
Z. Ivisic 11 1-2 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 1 0 4 4 -

* = starter