Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | UConn Huskies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.0% | 45.0% | -1.1 | ✗ (14.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UConn Huskies +13 (74-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kylan Boswell * | 39 | 8-16 | 2-8 | 7-7 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 20 | - |
| Tomislav Ivisic * | 25 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Andrej Stojakovic * | 24 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | - |
| David Mirkovic * | 18 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Keaton Wagler * | 14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Ben Humrichous | 26 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Mihailo Petrovic | 18 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Zvonimir Ivisic | 17 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Brandon Lee | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jake Davis | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
UConn Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Karaban * | 35 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 20 | - |
| Solo Ball * | 33 | 6-14 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Jaylin Stewart * | 24 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Silas Demary Jr. * | 20 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Tarris Reed Jr. * | 15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Malachi Smith | 24 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 5-5 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Eric Reibe | 22 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Jayden Ross | 16 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Braylon Mullins | 10 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Dwayne Koroma | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter