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Indiana Hoosiers 51
@
Illinois Fighting Illini 71
2026-02-15

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Hoosiers Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 14.8% 85.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 18.8% 81.2% - ✓
Margin 9.7% 90.3% +12.3 ✓ (7.7 off)
Pythagorean 41.3% 58.7% - ✓
Efficiency 1.1% 98.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 7.9% 92.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 7.7% 92.3% - ✓
Points Off/Def 23.5% 76.5% - ✓

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +20 (71-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Wilkerson 39 8-14 2-7 3-3 3 1 0 0 1 21 10 -
T. DeVries 35 5-12 3-7 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 13 2 -
C. Enright 35 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 6 1 0 2 0 5 -
N. Dorn 32 0-5 0-4 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 1 -3 -
S. Alexis 28 5-9 0-1 1-1 8 1 0 1 1 11 11 -
J. Miles 13 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
R. Bailey 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
T. Conerway 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Sisley 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
A. Ristic 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Wagler 39 7-15 1-4 3-4 6 3 3 1 0 18 16 -
D. Mirkovic 37 10-16 3-6 2-2 7 3 1 0 0 25 20 -
K. Boswell 33 4-10 1-3 0-0 7 2 1 0 1 9 8 -
T. Ivisic 27 6-11 1-6 1-1 6 1 0 1 0 14 11 -
B. Humrichous 26 0-7 0-6 0-0 8 1 2 0 0 0 4 -
J. Davis 25 1-4 1-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 3 1 -
Z. Ivisic 13 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -

* = starter