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2026-01-29

Model Predictions

Model Washington Huskies Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 8.8% 91.2% -
Bradley-Terry 16.7% 83.3% -
Margin 6.5% 93.5% +14.7 (5.7 off)
Pythagorean 38.2% 61.8% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 4.3% 95.7% -
Log Adjusted 4.2% 95.8% -
Points Off/Def 19.5% 80.5% -

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +9 (75-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
H. Steinbach 38 6-10 1-3 2-2 12 0 2 4 0 15 23 -4.9
W. Yates III 37 4-10 3-5 2-2 5 1 0 1 3 13 7 -7.4
Z. Diallo 26 4-9 0-1 4-4 7 10 0 0 3 12 17 -2.3
J. Ognacevic 20 1-5 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -7.9
JJ Mandaquit 19 4-7 1-4 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 9 3 -3.7
Q. Peterson 19 2-6 1-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 0 -3.4
F. Kepnang 18 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 3 +1.4
B. Tucker 18 3-7 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 6 0 +1.7
C. Muldrew 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 +0.1
L. Sommerville 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.8

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Wagler 38 7-13 2-4 6-9 5 8 2 0 1 22 23 +7.6
A. Stojakovic 33 4-11 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 8 1 +8.3
D. Mirkovic 31 7-15 3-8 2-3 6 1 0 0 1 19 10 +8.1
T. Ivisic 29 3-11 1-8 0-0 6 3 0 0 1 7 4 -1.6
J. Davis 27 1-2 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 3 4 -3.5
B. Humrichous 27 4-6 4-6 2-4 3 0 1 0 0 14 12 +9.8
Z. Ivisic 15 1-5 0-3 0-0 5 0 1 1 1 2 3 +8.4

* = starter