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Murray State

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016
Also known as: Murray State Racers, Murray State
Program History
Coach: Steve Prohm

2026 Team Stats (31 games)

83.1
PPG
80.6
Opp
+2.5
Margin
45.8%
FG%
34.8%
3P%
75.4%
FT%
36.3
RPG
13.7
APG
11.8
TO
83.1
Pace
83.7
AdjO
79.9
AdjD
#116
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 929 (#236) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1094 (#97) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 961 (#583) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → +3.8 (#111) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +11.9 (#203) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.600 (#115) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -13.4 More → 0.210 (#276) NetEff -13.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +5.1 More → 0.644 (#116) AdjNet +5.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +5.2 More → 0.646 (#116) AdjNet +5.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 83.7 | AdjD 79.9 More → 0.585 (#116) AdjO 83.7 | AdjD 79.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 78.6 | AdjD 79.2 More → 0.486 (#302) AdjO 78.6 | AdjD 79.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.770 (#165) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.710 (#183) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 125 | GP 31 More → 1049 (#192) RD 125 | GP 31

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Omaha Mavericks W 85 - 77
2025-11-07 vs Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils W 108 - 60
2025-11-11 @ SMU Mustangs L 91 - 102
2025-11-15 vs Nicholls Colonels W 99 - 79
2025-11-18 vs Little Rock Trojans W 89 - 68
2025-11-23 @ Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders L 87 - 90
2025-11-24 @ McNeese Cowboys L 60 - 73
2025-11-25 @ George Washington Revolutionaries W 96 - 95
2025-12-02 vs Morehead State Eagles W 84 - 52
2025-12-13 @ Akron Zips W 115 - 100
2025-12-18 vs Drake Bulldogs W 81 - 72
2025-12-21 @ Valparaiso Beacons W 85 - 79
2025-12-29 vs Southern Illinois Salukis W 84 - 81
2026-01-01 @ UIC Flames W 81 - 77
2026-01-04 vs Bradley Braves W 86 - 66
2026-01-07 @ Evansville Purple Aces W 79 - 69
2026-01-10 vs Valparaiso Beacons W 92 - 79
2026-01-21 @ Drake Bulldogs L 90 - 101
2026-01-24 @ Northern Iowa Panthers L 76 - 81
2026-01-28 vs Illinois State Redbirds L 65 - 70
2026-01-31 @ Belmont Bruins L 86 - 103
2026-02-03 vs UIC Flames W 81 - 74
2026-02-06 @ Southern Illinois Salukis W 91 - 81
2026-02-09 vs Northern Iowa Panthers L 60 - 89
2026-02-12 @ Indiana State Sycamores W 74 - 72
2026-02-15 vs Belmont Bruins L 70 - 87
2026-02-18 @ Illinois State Redbirds L 61 - 78
2026-02-21 vs Evansville Purple Aces W 88 - 75
2026-03-01 @ Bradley Braves L 78 - 87
2026-03-06 vs UIC Flames L 79 - 92
2026-03-18 @ Nevada Wolf Pack L 75 - 89

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. Jackson J. Jackson - 31 25.6 16.4 2.3 2.8 1.2 0.0 2.4 13.3 7.1 -82 -3.3 -9.5 42.5 35.9 84.3 -1.54 54.3 48.7
Roman Domon Roman Domon - 31 25.7 14.3 5.3 1.6 1.1 0.1 1.7 8.3 12.5 97 4.2 9.2 46.7 35.5 77.2 0.76 63.1 54.1
F. King F. King - 30 24.9 13.1 8.2 0.8 0.7 2.1 1.9 7.9 15.2 99 4.5 8.7 65.3 54.5 60.6 0.91 67.0 66.5
L. Taylor L. Taylor - 29 24.6 8.0 2.6 3.3 0.7 0.0 1.0 6.6 7.1 89 3.9 7.2 41.4 34.4 82.4 0.6 56.1 53.1
JJ Traynor JJ Traynor F 30 22.3 7.2 3.4 0.6 0.5 0.7 1.2 5.9 5.2 -3 -0.1 -0.3 47.2 30.9 70.3 -0.17 55.3 53.1
Kj Tenner Kj Tenner G 31 16.8 6.0 1.6 2.1 0.6 0.0 0.9 4.6 4.9 -10 -0.4 -1.4 45.1 40.9 73.2 -0.23 56.1 51.4
Brayden Shorter Brayden Shorter - 31 14.7 5.9 1.8 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.4 5.4 2.7 19 0.8 2.4 34.1 28.7 90.0 -0.06 51.1 47.0
M. Miller M. Miller - 30 22.6 5.6 3.8 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.5 4.3 5.7 -1 -0.2 -20.9 37.7 38.5 78.4 0.01 57.8 53.8
Mathis Courbon Mathis Courbon - 30 15.9 4.8 2.0 1.2 0.3 0.2 0.8 3.2 4.4 16 0.7 1.9 45.4 41.3 80.4 0.05 61.4 55.2
B. Vice B. Vice - 28 5.5 2.0 1.9 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 1.2 3.0 21 1.1 8.4 61.8 40.0 68.8 0.22 69.4 67.6
D. Anderson D. Anderson - 29 6.9 1.5 1.8 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.1 74 3.5 12.8 39.0 23.8 60.0 0.29 47.4 45.1
B. Shtolzberg B. Shtolzberg G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Tristian Ford Tristian Ford G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Lachlan Crate Lachlan Crate G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Dillon Butler Dillon Butler G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG