Model Predictions
| Model | Drake Bulldogs | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.1% | 58.9% | +1.1 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.3% | 78.7% | +7.2 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Murray State Racers +9 (81-72). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Quinn * | 33 | 7-17 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 5 | - |
| Okku Federiko * | 31 | 6-10 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Owen Larson * | 31 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Andrew Alia * | 29 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -2.0 |
| W. Exacte * | 28 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Jaehshon Thomas | 21 | 7-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Eli Shetlar | 15 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -10.5 |
| Griffen Goodbary | 9 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Braden Appelhans | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Layne Taylor * | 32 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Fredrick King * | 27 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Mason Miller * | 23 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| JJ Traynor * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Javon Jackson * | 20 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Roman Domon | 20 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Mathis Courbon | 20 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Brayden Shorter | 16 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| KJ Tenner | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Dylan Anderson | 7 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Brock Vice | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter