Model Predictions
| Model | Little Rock Trojans | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Prediction unavailable for this model state | |||
| Bradley-Terry | Prediction unavailable for this model state | |||
| Margin | Prediction unavailable for this model state | |||
| Pythagorean | Prediction unavailable for this model state | |||
| Adjusted Efficiency | Prediction unavailable for this model state | |||
| Log Adjusted | Prediction unavailable for this model state | |||
| Points Off/Def | Prediction unavailable for this model state | |||
Actual: Murray State Racers +21 (89-68). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrion Burgess * | 34 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Johnathan Lawson * | 33 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Tuongthach Gatkek * | 29 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Kachi Nzeh * | 25 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Braxton Bayless * | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Cameron Wallace | 30 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -1 | - |
| Caleb Pennyfeather | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Truman Claytor IV | 7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -6 | - |
| Christian Hughes | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Tracy Steele Jr. | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fredrick King * | 25 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| JJ Traynor * | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Mason Miller * | 22 | 5-9 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Javon Jackson * | 21 | 4-11 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Layne Taylor * | 17 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| KJ Tenner | 23 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Mathis Courbon | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Roman Domon | 18 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Brayden Shorter | 18 | 6-11 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Dylan Anderson | 14 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Brock Vice | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter